GSA experts regularly produce studies, analyses, and briefings for decision-makers and observers in the economic and financial world. Explore them here.
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GSA experts regularly produce studies, analyses, and briefings for decision-makers and observers in the economic and financial world. Explore them here.
To access all of our studies, please fill out the form at the bottom of the page.
Japan’s long-term borrowing rates have been rising structurally since 2022, against a backdrop of returning inflation, rising interest rates, and fears of a slippage in public finances. A sustained rise in interest rates could prompt Japanese investors to turn to their domestic market, potentially destabilizing markets that are most dependent on Japanese capital flows.
More and more emerging and developing countries are attempting to develop new agricultural exchanges (e.g. India, Brazil, China, Ethiopia, Nigeria), driven by trade and food sovereignty strategies. However, the success of such initiatives depends on many factors, such as the level of infrastructure, banking confidence and the regulatory framework.
After two years of export restrictions, India lifted its embargo and allowed rice prices to return to normal. These disruptions highlighted the food vulnerabilities of certain countries. Part of their food security was ensured by exemptions and compensation from other exporters, such as Pakistan, Vietnam, and Thailand.
The fertilizer market is emerging from four years of crisis. As prices return to historic levels, Russia has strengthened its position as leading exporter, to the detriment of Europe, while China is focusing on its domestic market. New players are emerging, such as Saudi Arabia, now hot on Morocco’s heels, and Laos, a future potash giant.
So-called “strategic” minerals, essential to the energy and digital transition, are today at the heart of a supply chain largely dominated by China. Faced with China, Western countries are trying to redefine their supply chains, and mining countries are trying to move up the value chain by developing local refining capacities.